Penya Encarnada vs Engordany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
22
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
FCS
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 1
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
55%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCO
0 - 3
PEN
38%
23%
40%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Engordany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UEE
0 - 7
SCO
12%
22%
67%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UEE
0 - 3
INT
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
UEE
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
UEE
0 - 3
SCO
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
UEE
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |