Penya Encarnada vs Atlètic Escaldes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
57
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UES
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 2
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCO
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
UES
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlètic Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 4
ATL
8%
14%
79%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 3
ATL
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ATL
13%
19%
67%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |