Penya Encarnada vs Atlètic Escaldes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
63
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
UEE
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
UES
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 1
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
55%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlètic Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
SJU
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UES
1 - 3
ATL
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCO
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SCO
0 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |