Penya Ciutadella U19 vs Mallorca U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
12º
18º
12º
44
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 76 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 59 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 33 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 86% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
CDM
44%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BUN
3 - 4
PEN
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 6
RCD
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mallorca U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
RCD
3 - 0
IBI
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 3
RCD
10%
16%
74%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RCD
6 - 1
BUN
89%
8%
3%
|
25 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 6
RCD
9%
15%
76%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RCD
2 - 1
SAN
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |