Penya Ciutadella U19 vs Penya Independent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+169%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
12º
18º
12º
15
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 76 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 59 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 33 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PLM
2 - 3
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CEC
4 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
PLA
34%
24%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
IBI
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
PEN
66%
18%
17%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
AND
39%
23%
39%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
POB
12%
16%
71%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
RCD
6 - 0
PEN
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | -1 |