Penya Ciutadella U19 vs Ciutat de Palma SA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+156%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
12º
18º
12º
19
8º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 76 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 59 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 33 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POB
3 - 0
PEN
57%
20%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
RCD
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
CDM
44%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BUN
3 - 4
PEN
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ciutat de Palma SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CPA
1 - 4
IBI
24%
21%
56%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 0
CPA
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | -1 |