Penya Ciutadella vs UD Mahón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
SLL
2 - 1
PCE
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PCE
0 - 1
FRR
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MNC
0 - 3
PCE
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PCE
1 - 1
SDM
57%
20%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 5
PCE
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
UDM
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SLL
0 - 2
UDM
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UDM
0 - 1
FRR
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MNC
3 - 5
UDM
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FRR
1 - 0
UDM
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |