Penya Ciutadella vs UD Alaró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CFP
0 - 0
PCE
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PCE
1 - 2
CLL
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
PCE
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PCE
2 - 1
CAM
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
PCE
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Alaró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UDA
0 - 3
SDF
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SLL
1 - 1
UDA
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UDA
4 - 1
MNC
29%
23%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BNS
2 - 2
UDA
74%
16%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UDA
0 - 2
LLO
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |