Penya Ciutadella vs Sporting de Mahón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+255%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 5
PCE
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALA
3 - 1
PCE
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PCE
0 - 1
ADC
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
UDM
4 - 1
PCE
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PCE
4 - 1
SLL
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting de Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 0
ATL
15%
17%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 3
FRR
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 1
SDM
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SDM
0 - 3
SAM
32%
24%
44%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MNC
4 - 3
SDM
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |