Penya Ciutadella vs CF Sant Rafel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
PCE
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PCE
2 - 0
CDS
40%
25%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
UDR
0 - 0
PCE
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PCE
0 - 2
ALC
20%
24%
57%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BNS
1 - 1
PCE
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CF Sant Rafel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SRF
0 - 2
CFP
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SRF
1 - 0
PBL
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
STA
0 - 0
SRF
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SRF
2 - 0
CLL
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FLN
1 - 2
SRF
23%
27%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |