Penya Ciutadella vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
PCE
4 - 1
ADC
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
PCE
0 - 3
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAM
5 - 2
PCE
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MER
3 - 1
PCE
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 1
PCE
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
MER
3 - 0
SLL
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MER
6 - 0
ADC
88%
9%
3%
|
29 | 6 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 4
MER
7%
16%
77%
|
29 | 6 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MER
3 - 1
PCE
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
SAM
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |