Penya Ciutadella vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 1
UDR
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 0
PCE
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 1
CFP
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MNU
0 - 2
PCE
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 0
PXD
28%
26%
46%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FER
2 - 3
MNU
42%
27%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SRF
1 - 1
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
UDA
55%
25%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |