Penya Ciutadella vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UDA
1 - 1
PCE
44%
26%
31%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 1
CFP
46%
26%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 1
PCE
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 1
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
PCE
49%
26%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
SDF
20%
26%
54%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SLL
3 - 0
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
MNC
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BNS
3 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
LLO
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |