Penya Ciutadella vs CF Norteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
PCE
56%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PCE
1 - 0
UDM
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
SLL
2 - 1
PCE
25%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PCE
0 - 1
FRR
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MNC
0 - 3
PCE
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Norteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
NTÑ
0 - 7
ATL
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UDM
2 - 2
NTÑ
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
NTÑ
3 - 0
SLL
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FRR
1 - 2
NTÑ
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NTÑ
1 - 3
MNC
14%
16%
70%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |