Penya Ciutadella vs Atlético Villacarlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 3
PCE
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SDM
1 - 2
PCE
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PCE
1 - 5
SDM
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PCE
1 - 1
FRR
14%
19%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FRR
2 - 1
PCE
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Villacarlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MER
7 - 2
ATL
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 5
MER
6%
14%
80%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 4
ALA
5%
11%
83%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
4 - 0
ATL
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MNC
5 - 2
ATL
51%
22%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |