Penya Ciutadella vs Atlètic De Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
PCE
0 - 3
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAM
5 - 2
PCE
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MER
3 - 1
PCE
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 1
PCE
68%
18%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PCE
4 - 2
ALA
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Atlètic De Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MER
6 - 0
ADC
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 4
MER
7%
16%
77%
|
5 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 3
ALA
5%
13%
83%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 0
ADC
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MNC
2 - 1
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |