Penya Ciutadella vs CE Alaior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SDM
3 - 0
PCE
78%
15%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PCE
1 - 3
SAM
23%
23%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MER
9 - 0
PCE
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PCE
3 - 4
UDM
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
PCE
2 - 2
FRR
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 3
MNC
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 1
SAM
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 4
UDM
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SDM
0 - 2
ALA
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MER
4 - 2
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |