Penrith AFC vs Crook Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 8
CUM
8%
16%
76%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
NOR
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 7
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
22 | 6 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
CEL
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
CCF
41%
21%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crook Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRO
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 1
HEA
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
CRO
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
CRO
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRF
3 - 1
CRO
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |