Penrhyncoch FC vs Prestatyn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
16º
16º
43
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
RTW
2 - 1
PEN
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
HOL
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
GUI
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
PEN
49%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 1
POR
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
5 - 2
PRE
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
PRE
36%
20%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 3
COL
15%
20%
65%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 1
PRE
40%
21%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |