Penrhyncoch FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
16º
16º
43
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
LLA
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
4 - 1
PEN
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 4
BUC
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
4 - 1
PEN
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CEF
6 - 1
AAA
75%
14%
12%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
CEF
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 1
MOL
79%
12%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 4
LLA
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |