Penrhyncoch FC vs Buckley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
16º
16º
42
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
4 - 1
PEN
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 5
CON
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
PEN
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
LLA
12%
21%
68%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Buckley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
3 - 2
GRE
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 1
BUC
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 1
BUC
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 3
BUC
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 1
GUI
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |