Campionato Playoffs Título Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Pennarossa vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
PEN
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
COS
83%
12%
4%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
PEN
68%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
MUR
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 0
VIR
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 2
VIR
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
9%
18%
73%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |