Pennarossa vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
COS
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 2
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 2
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 3
SGI
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
4 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
VIR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |