Pennarossa vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
2 - 1
PEN
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
5 - 1
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TPE
0 - 1
PEN
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
5 - 1
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 2
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 2
FIO
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |