Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
68.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 0
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
PEN
75%
18%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 3
VIR
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 2
TFI
11%
18%
71%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
TFI
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 1
VIR
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |