Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 0
PEN
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
5 - 3
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 2
DOM
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TFI
1 - 2
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 3
LIB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 2
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 2
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SGI
2 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |