Pennarossa vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
VIR
7%
19%
75%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
LIB
15%
21%
65%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
8 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
SGI
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 5
TPE
13%
21%
66%
|
24 | 69 | 45 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
SGI
17%
18%
65%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 4
FOL
15%
21%
65%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
SMA
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 3
DOM
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |