Pennarossa vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 0
PEN
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 3
COS
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 1
COS
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 2
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 3
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |