Pennarossa vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
53%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
TPE
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
6 - 0
DOM
66%
19%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
SGI
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 1
SGI
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
VIR
37%
23%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |