Pennarossa vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
TFI
25%
22%
54%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DOM
0 - 1
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 3
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
DOM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
MUR
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
VIR
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |