Pennarossa vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
10%
18%
73%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
FOL
17%
24%
60%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 0
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 3
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 3
DOM
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |