Pennarossa vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
PEN
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TFI
4 - 2
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 3
FOL
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TPE
1 - 3
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 5
VIR
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |