Pennarossa vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
COS
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
TFI
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FAE
1 - 2
MUR
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
VIR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 3
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |