Pennarossa vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
8 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
SGI
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 5
COS
13%
20%
67%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 0
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TFI
2 - 1
LIB
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
JUV
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TPE
5 - 1
LIB
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 1
LIB
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |