Pennarossa vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
10%
18%
73%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 0
DOM
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 2
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 0
LIB
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |