Pennarossa vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
PEN
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 3
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 3
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
FIO
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |