Pennarossa vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 3
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FAE
0 - 3
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
22%
23%
56%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
LIB
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SGI
0 - 2
LIB
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 1
TFI
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIB
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 0
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |