Pennarossa vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
DOM
2 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TFI
2 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 1
FIO
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TFI
4 - 0
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
SGI
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 4
FIO
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
JUV
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 2
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |