Pennarossa vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 2
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TPE
1 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 1
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
POL
4 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
POL
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
DOM
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |