Pennarossa vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DOM
0 - 1
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 3
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
2 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
JUV
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 5
FOL
30%
24%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
FAE
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
FOL
16%
23%
62%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |