Pennarossa vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 0
PEN
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
FAE
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |