Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
71.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 0
PEN
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FIO
7 - 1
FAE
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 2
CAI
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 1
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
39%
25%
37%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 4
IST
19%
25%
55%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |