Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SGI
1 - 0
PEN
23%
25%
53%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
TFI
23%
20%
57%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 3
TPE
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
PEN
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 4
FIO
12%
18%
70%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
7 - 2
CAI
84%
11%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |