Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIB
6 - 0
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
4 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 0
PEN
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 5
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 2
FIO
31%
23%
47%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
34%
24%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |