Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 1
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 0
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
TPE
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
FIO
19%
23%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 1
FIO
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
FIO
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 3
VAL
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |