Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
FOL
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
PEN
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 5
FAE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
FAE
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
43%
24%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
DOM
4 - 1
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |