Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 4
PEN
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TPE
1 - 1
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
PEN
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 1
JUV
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 1
SGI
79%
15%
7%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |