Pennarossa vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
FAE
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 1
PEN
26%
26%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
COS
1 - 2
PEN
23%
26%
52%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
TFI
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
LIB
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
FIO
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 4
FIO
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
MUR
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
DOM
1 - 2
FIO
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |