Pennarossa vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
5 - 1
COS
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DOM
4 - 0
PEN
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 3
FAE
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 3
DOM
28%
24%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FAE
4 - 0
FIO
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 1
COS
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SGI
1 - 2
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |