Pennarossa vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FAE
0 - 2
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DOM
2 - 2
FIO
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |